Given AI’s great potential, preventing it from turning into the sorcerer’s apprentice is the primary challenge
“I view this question as depending on what happens to current AI, meaning in practice, to current generative AI. For purposes of this exercise, let’s consider two possible outcomes for…
What happens to humans’ authenticity and autonomy when they are augmented with AI?
“As we look to the future, we might assume that the biggest existential threats to humanity lie in climate change and nuclear wars. As massive as those problems are, they…
The boundary between the organic and artificial, the sentient and insentient will erode
“The distant yet rapidly approaching horizon of 2040 beckons, a tableau yet to be etched but keenly imagined amidst the swirl of present-day aspirations and trepidations. The narrative of artificial…
2040 could see a graceful handoff to a nearly mythical world run by AI … or not
“Through 2040, AI will be an amplifier of human capabilities, directed toward various cooperative and competitive endeavors against a backdrop of conflicting values and resource constraints. For the next two…
Thought is no longer generated from solo insights; it is the end product of a shared brain
“By 2040, adjunct intelligence will be everywhere, exercising a dramatic effect on each person’s identity and individual perception. AI’s collective powers and uber-reasoning are arriving as a silent encroaching on…
Such good friends? Digital agents are likely to turn users into unknowing ‘agents of the machine’
“In computer-human interface design, the word ‘agent’ refers to chatbots and other seemingly autonomous entities that act on behalf of the computer in their interactions with us human users. It…
Human-centered AI can succeed only if it includes all humans
“While AI innovation is moving faster than experts anticipated a year or two ago, the likelihood of human-level AI coming to fruition by 2040 is debatable. However, AI is and…
Will AI amplify or reverse trajectories we are now riding?
“If we avoid succumbing to an existential crisis, by 2040 AI will have changed life for those who can afford expensive health care and surgical procedures, homes and vehicles constructed…
Should AIs be required to get a ‘driver’s license’ that certifies them as socially competent?
“Let’s confront some big questions about AI in a Q-A-style interview format: “Question: Where does AI begin and where does it end? The answer is that AI will probably have…
Reinventing democracies’ infrastructures can cut the likelihood of dystopia by 85%
“Our future depends upon what we choose to do and invest in. It is as if all of society is in vehicles navigating treacherous mountain passes with engines that are…