‘A new priesthood or profession’ of certified ethical AI developers will emerge
“The existential battle over the next 15 years will not be humans versus AI (as Hollywood and misinforming billionaire oligarchs portray, the better to keep us entertained and unconcerned about…
Inequalities and human rights issues will be amplified, rights experts must raise concerns
“Health goals, for example, the promise of more rapid and accurate diagnosis and treatment, are often cited as an underlying rationale for the rapid growth of artificial intelligence. But, in practice,…
‘Technology is not neutral, and unless we build it with inclusive intention we cannot change its course’
“A better world is possible by 2040 than the one we have today. But will we actually live in that better world in 15 years? “The current movement toward condensing…
Positive outcomes must be imagined before they can become reality: Aim for human flourishing
“The first public, widely-accessible generative AI tools became available in the fall of 2022. In the 12 months since we have seen significant advances in every AI tool that is…
As AI becomes ordinary, we must understand the presumptions we are encoding
“It’s a truism in the AI world that as soon as a technology becomes reliable, it’s no longer considered to be AI. Machine translation used to be the most interesting…
The forward momentum of AI is probably far too powerful to restrain or direct
“The past few years have seen a distinct decline in the trust that citizens have in their institutions – political, business, educational, etc. Fake news and skepticism about science, expertise…
The fight to gain first-mover and network effects advantages is on. Will AI meet expectations?
“Of course, many people are thinking about the issues around AIs – especially the major industry players – but I’m not confident that values beyond efficiency, novelty and profit will…
The problems raised by AI cannot be solved simply by bolting guardrails onto existing systems
“Popular visions of created intelligence as a utopic or dystopic force date back more than two centuries. Today it is possible to envision that artificial machine intelligence could cause dramatic…
We will be better off overall in 2040 if general purpose AI does not progress much, though social recalibration will be disruptive
“I start with two assumptions. The first is that we won’t see much progress on general-purpose AI in the next 15 years or so. If this is wrong, all bets…
‘We need to allow room for human discretion and struggle,’ important parts of being human
“My biggest concern at the moment is that we are trying to rein in AI before clearly defining its boundaries. “In the spring of 2023 the White House put out…