We can create a great future, but it will require new infrastructure, policies and norms
“How our individual lives and society will change with the diffusion of AI depends less on technological innovations and more on policies and institutional arrangements in which they develop. It…
AI threatens to require society to redefine ‘what it means to be a person’ in the digital realm
“The outcome by 2040 depends a great deal, if not entirely, upon the regulatory framework created around AI. If we just consider the Internet, there have certainly been areas where…
Augmented intelligence can inspire humanity to significantly upgrade everything
“Ideally, in 2040 the transition to the self-actualization economy will have begun. We will have come a long way since the 2020s. For the first time in history, humanity will…
Given AI’s great potential, preventing it from turning into the sorcerer’s apprentice is the primary challenge
“I view this question as depending on what happens to current AI, meaning in practice, to current generative AI. For purposes of this exercise, let’s consider two possible outcomes for…
The boundary between the organic and artificial, the sentient and insentient will erode
“The distant yet rapidly approaching horizon of 2040 beckons, a tableau yet to be etched but keenly imagined amidst the swirl of present-day aspirations and trepidations. The narrative of artificial…
Thought is no longer generated from solo insights; it is the end product of a shared brain
“By 2040, adjunct intelligence will be everywhere, exercising a dramatic effect on each person’s identity and individual perception. AI’s collective powers and uber-reasoning are arriving as a silent encroaching on…
Which metrics of success will win the day – growth and productivity or finding joy and love?
“I’d like to share two potential outcomes: dystopian and non-dystopian. “The Dystopian View: Here’s what 2040 might look like if societal systems don’t change. In this scenario, society still values…
If people don’t harmonize on AI, the future will not bring out the best in humanity
“The rapid proliferation of AI is likely to create significant changes in individuals’ daily lives and in society’s social, economic and political systems. By 2040, we will see AI-powered technologies…
Humans are being moved out of ‘the loop’; they might land next in the metaverse
“While I hesitate to claim that all of the ideas I share will all be fully realized by 2040, I think at the very least we’ll see significant progress on…
Climate change, housing/refugee and economic inequity crises will play a huge role in 2040
“While AI is exploding now, it is not happening in isolation. Other factors are having a powerful impact on individuals and social systems, namely: “Some would set AI advancements and…