AI advances will bring the metaverse up to speed and accelerate 5G/6G and smart cities
“It’s tempting to consider the future of AI as vertical, but technologies do not develop in vacuums. They enable, accelerate and even frustrate each other. “For instance, further developments in…
Our dilemma: ‘We won’t know what problems are salient until it may be too late’
“By 2040, the implementation of AI tools (along with related innovations and likely policy changes/self-regulatory efforts) will change life in material ways, sometimes for good but sometimes not. And, as…
Which metrics of success will win the day – growth and productivity or finding joy and love?
“I’d like to share two potential outcomes: dystopian and non-dystopian. “The Dystopian View: Here’s what 2040 might look like if societal systems don’t change. In this scenario, society still values…
Humans’ scarcity mindset inhibits our willingness to embrace abundance
“I imagine positive, negative and middle-of-the road futures for the year 2040 without predicting whether or which are most likely to occur. Most significant, and a component in all three…
Evidence-based decision-making will lead to compassionate policies and practices
“Much more will be gained than will be lost due to artificial intelligence in the coming 15 years. It will significantly enhance lives worldwide. Overriding all of the changes will…
It may take an existential threat to knock us off the pedestal of narrow critical thinking on AI
“The best consequence of AI – which has existed in the scientific disciplines for many years but has now migrated to the humanities fields and the general consumer space –…
Positive outcomes must be imagined before they can become reality: Aim for human flourishing
“The first public, widely-accessible generative AI tools became available in the fall of 2022. In the 12 months since we have seen significant advances in every AI tool that is…
The forward momentum of AI is probably far too powerful to restrain or direct
“The past few years have seen a distinct decline in the trust that citizens have in their institutions – political, business, educational, etc. Fake news and skepticism about science, expertise…
The problems raised by AI cannot be solved simply by bolting guardrails onto existing systems
“Popular visions of created intelligence as a utopic or dystopic force date back more than two centuries. Today it is possible to envision that artificial machine intelligence could cause dramatic…
We will be better off overall in 2040 if general purpose AI does not progress much, though social recalibration will be disruptive
“I start with two assumptions. The first is that we won’t see much progress on general-purpose AI in the next 15 years or so. If this is wrong, all bets…