There is likely to be an AI-driven war over people’s minds and emotions
“By 2040, for most of the population, AI’s daily influence will appear to be rather benign and quite useful, but the purveyors of AI will invest their efforts toward creating…
The boundary between the organic and artificial, the sentient and insentient will erode
“The distant yet rapidly approaching horizon of 2040 beckons, a tableau yet to be etched but keenly imagined amidst the swirl of present-day aspirations and trepidations. The narrative of artificial…
AI advances will bring the metaverse up to speed and accelerate 5G/6G and smart cities
“It’s tempting to consider the future of AI as vertical, but technologies do not develop in vacuums. They enable, accelerate and even frustrate each other. “For instance, further developments in…
Our dilemma: ‘We won’t know what problems are salient until it may be too late’
“By 2040, the implementation of AI tools (along with related innovations and likely policy changes/self-regulatory efforts) will change life in material ways, sometimes for good but sometimes not. And, as…
We will identify AI risks and take steps now to mitigate them
“As the pressure to regulate artificial intelligence continues to grow, concerns about the potential dangers of this powerful technology are also on the rise. Superpowers, including the U.S., China, the…
Blurred ‘truth’ and the erosion of trust are likely to deliver AI’s most significant impact
“By 2040 AI will permeate everything. It is highly likely that it will have passed the Turing test well before 2040. Many aspects of daily life will be easier and…
2040 could see a graceful handoff to a nearly mythical world run by AI … or not
“Through 2040, AI will be an amplifier of human capabilities, directed toward various cooperative and competitive endeavors against a backdrop of conflicting values and resource constraints. For the next two…
Which metrics of success will win the day – growth and productivity or finding joy and love?
“I’d like to share two potential outcomes: dystopian and non-dystopian. “The Dystopian View: Here’s what 2040 might look like if societal systems don’t change. In this scenario, society still values…
Proactive moves to promote the use of AI to enhance democracy are crucial to mitigating risk
“The proliferation of artificial intelligence is poised to usher in profound changes by 2040. AI has already reshaped our daily lives. While the promise of AI is still unfolding, the…
What will humans become if they lose the agora and the ability to reason with no assistance?
“I have two primary worries. The first concerns the vanishing of the public sphere. By 2040, each individual – thanks to AI apps – is likely to live their own,…