We will be better off overall in 2040 if general purpose AI does not progress much, though social recalibration will be disruptive
“I start with two assumptions. The first is that we won’t see much progress on general-purpose AI in the next 15 years or so. If this is wrong, all bets…
‘We need to allow room for human discretion and struggle,’ important parts of being human
“My biggest concern at the moment is that we are trying to rein in AI before clearly defining its boundaries. “In the spring of 2023 the White House put out…
AI seems magical now, but it really offers only flawed and limited promise
“While we will continue to see significant advances from AI in many ways, the raw power of simulating intelligent behavior through LLMs will plateau as a result of model collapse…
Humanity must take action to assure individuals’ rights, dignity and superiority over AI
“AI is not a weekend experiment, it has some of the most inquiring minds behind it and some of the coolest talents. “The first thing we must do is trust…
Outside of job losses, narrow AI will be mostly beneficial; this may change when AGI arrives in 3 to 15 years
“AI timelines are very difficult to predict. My own prediction, as an expert in neuroscience, neural networks and cognitive architectures, is that we can expect to advance to having self-improving…
Human-machine rules should achieve the reality we want for our children and grandchildren
“Intelligence cannot be artificial, so ‘artificial intelligence’ – isn’t. The idea of more-complex computational machinery begs two questions: Who is going to use it? And in what ways? The real…
Hyper-efficiency and productivity due to AI will accelerate innovation at scale by 2040
“In 2040, AI will usher in an era of enterprise hyper-efficiency and productivity that accelerates innovation at scale. The proliferation of AI will present a robust landscape of enhanced human…
Focus on how to co-exist with super-empowered, transnational organizations and individuals
“The distraction here is focusing on questions that are framed as: What if AI did XYZ to humanity? Instead, we really should be focusing on how we learn to co-exist…
Communal, civic and constitutional guidelines should be exercised over artificial intellgence
“By 2040, AI will extend into virtually every digitally-enabled technology we interact with; it will be woven into the very infrastructure that surrounds and supports us in the 21st century….
In the future, humans could possibly become cyborgs, merging with machines
“The modified industrial-age society will alter much by 2040. AI will subsume employment while creating major additional wealth and providing people with a guaranteed annual income. Many humans will have…