Focus on the long-term welfare of people and society: Ask not what AI can do but what WE can ask it to do
“The question of the future of humans and AI seems impossible to answer because of unexplainable humans, not because of unexplainable AI. So much depends on our use and control of…
Given AI’s great potential, preventing it from turning into the sorcerer’s apprentice is the primary challenge
“I view this question as depending on what happens to current AI, meaning in practice, to current generative AI. For purposes of this exercise, let’s consider two possible outcomes for…
The questions are, ‘Can humans say “no” to AI, and can AI say “no” to humans?’
“There are two critical uncertainties as we imagine 2040 scenarios: “In other words, can humans say ‘no’ to AI, and can AI say ‘no’ to humans? Note that the existence…
2040 could see a graceful handoff to a nearly mythical world run by AI … or not
“Through 2040, AI will be an amplifier of human capabilities, directed toward various cooperative and competitive endeavors against a backdrop of conflicting values and resource constraints. For the next two…
AI is the most-persuasive technology ever, and the most dangerous in greedy human hands
“AI is poised to be the most persuasive technology ever invented, which also makes it the most dangerous in greedy human hands. By 2040, we may decide to let AI…
If people don’t harmonize on AI, the future will not bring out the best in humanity
“The rapid proliferation of AI is likely to create significant changes in individuals’ daily lives and in society’s social, economic and political systems. By 2040, we will see AI-powered technologies…
It may take an existential threat to knock us off the pedestal of narrow critical thinking on AI
“The best consequence of AI – which has existed in the scientific disciplines for many years but has now migrated to the humanities fields and the general consumer space –…
Should AIs be required to get a ‘driver’s license’ that certifies them as socially competent?
“Let’s confront some big questions about AI in a Q-A-style interview format: “Question: Where does AI begin and where does it end? The answer is that AI will probably have…
‘A new priesthood or profession’ of certified ethical AI developers will emerge
“The existential battle over the next 15 years will not be humans versus AI (as Hollywood and misinforming billionaire oligarchs portray, the better to keep us entertained and unconcerned about…
Human-machine rules should achieve the reality we want for our children and grandchildren
“Intelligence cannot be artificial, so ‘artificial intelligence’ – isn’t. The idea of more-complex computational machinery begs two questions: Who is going to use it? And in what ways? The real…