AI systems are being taught to ‘master the game of humans’
“I’d like to explain the concept of sentient AI and the ‘arrival-mind paradox.’ As I look to the year 2040, I believe AI systems will likely become super-intelligent and sentient….
AI threatens to require society to redefine ‘what it means to be a person’ in the digital realm
“The outcome by 2040 depends a great deal, if not entirely, upon the regulatory framework created around AI. If we just consider the Internet, there have certainly been areas where…
We can create a great future, but it will require new infrastructure, policies and norms
“How our individual lives and society will change with the diffusion of AI depends less on technological innovations and more on policies and institutional arrangements in which they develop. It…
What happens to humans’ authenticity and autonomy when they are augmented with AI?
“As we look to the future, we might assume that the biggest existential threats to humanity lie in climate change and nuclear wars. As massive as those problems are, they…
The questions are, ‘Can humans say “no” to AI, and can AI say “no” to humans?’
“There are two critical uncertainties as we imagine 2040 scenarios: “In other words, can humans say ‘no’ to AI, and can AI say ‘no’ to humans? Note that the existence…
The boundary between the organic and artificial, the sentient and insentient will erode
“The distant yet rapidly approaching horizon of 2040 beckons, a tableau yet to be etched but keenly imagined amidst the swirl of present-day aspirations and trepidations. The narrative of artificial…
Our dilemma: ‘We won’t know what problems are salient until it may be too late’
“By 2040, the implementation of AI tools (along with related innovations and likely policy changes/self-regulatory efforts) will change life in material ways, sometimes for good but sometimes not. And, as…
We will identify AI risks and take steps now to mitigate them
“As the pressure to regulate artificial intelligence continues to grow, concerns about the potential dangers of this powerful technology are also on the rise. Superpowers, including the U.S., China, the…
Which metrics of success will win the day – growth and productivity or finding joy and love?
“I’d like to share two potential outcomes: dystopian and non-dystopian. “The Dystopian View: Here’s what 2040 might look like if societal systems don’t change. In this scenario, society still values…
Proactive moves to promote the use of AI to enhance democracy are crucial to mitigating risk
“The proliferation of artificial intelligence is poised to usher in profound changes by 2040. AI has already reshaped our daily lives. While the promise of AI is still unfolding, the…