AGI is Likely to Reshape How Humans Experience Self-Expression, Identity and Worth. We Will Also Have to Choose Between Retaining a ‘Classic’ Intellect or Being Enhanced with Tech
“Predicting the future is challenging but building it is even more. That’s my job, and it is difficult since the technological growth and trends expected in the next decade are…
Augmented intelligence can inspire humanity to significantly upgrade everything
“Ideally, in 2040 the transition to the self-actualization economy will have begun. We will have come a long way since the 2020s. For the first time in history, humanity will…
The questions are, ‘Can humans say “no” to AI, and can AI say “no” to humans?’
“There are two critical uncertainties as we imagine 2040 scenarios: “In other words, can humans say ‘no’ to AI, and can AI say ‘no’ to humans? Note that the existence…
We will identify AI risks and take steps now to mitigate them
“As the pressure to regulate artificial intelligence continues to grow, concerns about the potential dangers of this powerful technology are also on the rise. Superpowers, including the U.S., China, the…
Humans’ scarcity mindset inhibits our willingness to embrace abundance
“I imagine positive, negative and middle-of-the road futures for the year 2040 without predicting whether or which are most likely to occur. Most significant, and a component in all three…
A ‘celebration society’ will emerge as abundance becomes civilization’s natural state
“Assuming AGI is achieved soon, we may finally stand on the threshold of a sufficient combination of intelligence (via AI), matter (via asteroid mining) and energy from various clean sources…
It may take an existential threat to knock us off the pedestal of narrow critical thinking on AI
“The best consequence of AI – which has existed in the scientific disciplines for many years but has now migrated to the humanities fields and the general consumer space –…
Will AI amplify or reverse trajectories we are now riding?
“If we avoid succumbing to an existential crisis, by 2040 AI will have changed life for those who can afford expensive health care and surgical procedures, homes and vehicles constructed…
‘A new priesthood or profession’ of certified ethical AI developers will emerge
“The existential battle over the next 15 years will not be humans versus AI (as Hollywood and misinforming billionaire oligarchs portray, the better to keep us entertained and unconcerned about…
Outside of job losses, narrow AI will be mostly beneficial; this may change when AGI arrives in 3 to 15 years
“AI timelines are very difficult to predict. My own prediction, as an expert in neuroscience, neural networks and cognitive architectures, is that we can expect to advance to having self-improving…