November 2023
There is likely to be an AI-driven war over people’s minds and emotions
“By 2040, for most of the population, AI’s daily influence will appear to be rather benign and quite useful, but the purveyors of AI will invest their efforts toward creating…
November 2023
Synthetic agents (‘synthetes’) will be mass produced and create a ‘privacy nightmare’
“There will be many more deepfakes and more AI-generated misinformation in politics, which will make it more difficult to distinguish AI falsehoods from human-authored information. Minimally, laws are needed that…
November 2023
Don’t underestimate the dangers of unintended consequences embraced out of ignorance
“In the next 15 or so years, AI (not AGI) will arguably complement humans by improving the productivity of workers of every kind and by creating new, augmented tasks and…
November 2023
We will be better off overall in 2040 if general purpose AI does not progress much, though social recalibration will be disruptive
“I start with two assumptions. The first is that we won’t see much progress on general-purpose AI in the next 15 years or so. If this is wrong, all bets…