We can create a great future, but it will require new infrastructure, policies and norms
“How our individual lives and society will change with the diffusion of AI depends less on technological innovations and more on policies and institutional arrangements in which they develop. It…
Focus on the long-term welfare of people and society: Ask not what AI can do but what WE can ask it to do
“The question of the future of humans and AI seems impossible to answer because of unexplainable humans, not because of unexplainable AI. So much depends on our use and control of…
Augmented intelligence can inspire humanity to significantly upgrade everything
“Ideally, in 2040 the transition to the self-actualization economy will have begun. We will have come a long way since the 2020s. For the first time in history, humanity will…
Given AI’s great potential, preventing it from turning into the sorcerer’s apprentice is the primary challenge
“I view this question as depending on what happens to current AI, meaning in practice, to current generative AI. For purposes of this exercise, let’s consider two possible outcomes for…
Blurred ‘truth’ and the erosion of trust are likely to deliver AI’s most significant impact
“By 2040 AI will permeate everything. It is highly likely that it will have passed the Turing test well before 2040. Many aspects of daily life will be easier and…
Thought is no longer generated from solo insights; it is the end product of a shared brain
“By 2040, adjunct intelligence will be everywhere, exercising a dramatic effect on each person’s identity and individual perception. AI’s collective powers and uber-reasoning are arriving as a silent encroaching on…
If people don’t harmonize on AI, the future will not bring out the best in humanity
“The rapid proliferation of AI is likely to create significant changes in individuals’ daily lives and in society’s social, economic and political systems. By 2040, we will see AI-powered technologies…
Humans’ scarcity mindset inhibits our willingness to embrace abundance
“I imagine positive, negative and middle-of-the road futures for the year 2040 without predicting whether or which are most likely to occur. Most significant, and a component in all three…
Evidence-based decision-making will lead to compassionate policies and practices
“Much more will be gained than will be lost due to artificial intelligence in the coming 15 years. It will significantly enhance lives worldwide. Overriding all of the changes will…
Agile governance must meet the dynamic challenges of future complex adaptive systems
“Managing and understanding the risks and nonlinearities of future advances will be a critical challenge from now and beyond. “Sophisticated models and agile governance mechanisms will be required to responsibly…