In 10 Years’ Time Generations Alpha and Beta Will Make Up 40% of Humanity. Let’s Hope They Don’t Lose Any Mission-Critical Human Characteristics; We’ll All Need Them
“Throughout history, the humans have been mining three classes of resources from Mother Nature‚ two living and one inanimate: plants, animals and materials for tools. We give names to animals…
Can Our Innate Curiosity Save Us From an AI-Reliant Post-Truth Dystopia? Or Will AI Agents Facilitate and Amplify Our Weaknesses and Downgrade Knowledge Resources?
“Human propensities combined with AI as it is on course to develop over the next 10 years in the U.S. could result in longer but less-fulfilling lives. If we follow…
Competition, Individualism and Goal-seeking Behaviors Will Be Amplified By AI, for Good and Ill; Uniquely Human Cognitive and Emotional Features Will See the Greatest Evolution
“Recent developments in generative AI show models that are increasingly capable of learning and reasoning without human feedback. They are discovering unique solutions to problems that have eluded humans, training…
Expect Significant Impact by 2035: Imperfect Systems Will Be Routinely Used By People and AIs, Creating Potential for Considerable Turmoil and Problems With Unwarranted Trust
“Given the past decade of AI research results, especially the emergence of generative, multi-modal large language models (LLMs), we can anticipate significant impact by 2035. These tools are surprising in…
Dangers Arise as AI becomes Humanlike. How Do We Retain a Sense of Human Dignity? They Will Become Self-Aware and ‘Inner Lights of Consciousness Will Come On for Them’
“AI large language models [LLMs] are not actually intelligences, they are information-retrieval tools. As such they are astonishing but also fundamentally limited and even flawed. Basically, the hallucinations generated by…
Our dilemma: ‘We won’t know what problems are salient until it may be too late’
“By 2040, the implementation of AI tools (along with related innovations and likely policy changes/self-regulatory efforts) will change life in material ways, sometimes for good but sometimes not. And, as…
Which metrics of success will win the day – growth and productivity or finding joy and love?
“I’d like to share two potential outcomes: dystopian and non-dystopian. “The Dystopian View: Here’s what 2040 might look like if societal systems don’t change. In this scenario, society still values…
Climate change, housing/refugee and economic inequity crises will play a huge role in 2040
“While AI is exploding now, it is not happening in isolation. Other factors are having a powerful impact on individuals and social systems, namely: “Some would set AI advancements and…
If we design our institutional ‘operating systems’ correctly we can realize a future of unprecedented progress and well-being
“The AI discourse has been too fixated on a possible impending doomsday due to AI that could spiral out of control. The pressing, tangible challenges just at the threshold of…
The fight to gain first-mover and network effects advantages is on. Will AI meet expectations?
“Of course, many people are thinking about the issues around AIs – especially the major industry players – but I’m not confident that values beyond efficiency, novelty and profit will…