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  • 2024 Blog
    • Artificial Intelligence
    • Imagining the Digital Future Report: The Impact of AI by 2040
November 2023

We can create a great future, but it will require new infrastructure, policies and norms

by Marina Gorbis

“How our individual lives and society will change with the diffusion of AI depends less on technological innovations and more on policies and institutional arrangements in which they develop. It…

November 2023

AI threatens to require society to redefine ‘what it means to be a person’ in the digital realm

by Henry Brady

“The outcome by 2040 depends a great deal, if not entirely, upon the regulatory framework created around AI. If we just consider the Internet, there have certainly been areas where…

November 2023

What happens to humans’ authenticity and autonomy when they are augmented with AI?

by Tracey Follows

“As we look to the future, we might assume that the biggest existential threats to humanity lie in climate change and nuclear wars. As massive as those problems are, they…

November 2023

Our dilemma: ‘We won’t know what problems are salient until it may be too late’

by Chuck Cosson

“By 2040, the implementation of AI tools (along with related innovations and likely policy changes/self-regulatory efforts) will change life in material ways, sometimes for good but sometimes not. And, as…

November 2023

Which metrics of success will win the day – growth and productivity or finding joy and love?

by John Havens

“I’d like to share two potential outcomes: dystopian and non-dystopian. “The Dystopian View: Here’s what 2040 might look like if societal systems don’t change. In this scenario, society still values…

Avi Bar-Zeev
Avi Bar-Zeev
November 2023

AI is the most-persuasive technology ever, and the most dangerous in greedy human hands

by Avi Bar-Zeev

“AI is poised to be the most persuasive technology ever invented, which also makes it the most dangerous in greedy human hands. By 2040, we may decide to let AI…

November 2023

‘AI’s ubiquity will tempt us to give up ownership, control and responsibility’

by Chris Labash

“Predicting the future is a tricky business under the best of circumstances and the world in 2023 is pretty far from the best of circumstances. At its core, AI is…

November 2023

‘Technology is not neutral, and unless we build it with inclusive intention we cannot change its course’

by Amy Sample Ward

“A better world is possible by 2040 than the one we have today. But will we actually live in that better world in 15 years? “The current movement toward condensing…

Micah Altman
Micah Altman
November 2023

The problems raised by AI cannot be solved simply by bolting guardrails onto existing systems

by Micah Altman

“Popular visions of created intelligence as a utopic or dystopic force date back more than two centuries. Today it is possible to envision that artificial machine intelligence could cause dramatic…

Clifford Lynch
Clifford Lynch
November 2023

We will be better off overall in 2040 if general purpose AI does not progress much, though social recalibration will be disruptive

by Clifford Lynch

“I start with two assumptions. The first is that we won’t see much progress on general-purpose AI in the next 15 years or so. If this is wrong, all bets…

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