We May Lose Our Human Unpredictability in a World in Which Algorithms Dictate the Terms of Engagement; These Systems Are Likely to Lead to the Erosion of Freedom and Authenticity
“Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) tied to brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) and sophisticated surveillance technologies, among other applications, will deeply shape the social, political and economic spheres of life by 2035,…
The Blurring of Societal and Cultural Boundaries Is Shifting the Essence of Being Human in Many Ways, Further Disrupting Human Relationships and Mental Health
“Multiple boundaries are going to blur or melt over the next decade, shifting the experience of being human in disconcerting ways. Among them: The boundary between reality and fiction: Deepfakes…
We Can Be Transformed If the Integration of Synthetic and Organic Intelligence Serves Human Flourishing in All its Unpredictable, Creative and Collective Forms
“By 2035, the essential nature of human experience will be transformed not through the transcendence of our biology, but through an unprecedented integration with synthetic systems that participate in creating…
Respect for Human Expertise and Authority Will Be Undermined, Trust Destroyed, and Utility Will Displace ‘Truth’ at a Time When Mass Unemployment Decimates Identity and Security
“It seems clear from the vantage point of 2025 that AI will be not just a once-in-a-generation but a once-in-a-hundred years transformative technology, on a par with the introduction of…
AI Will Fundamentally Reshape How and What We Think, Relate to and Understand Ourselves; It Will Also Raise Important Questions About Human Agency and Authenticity
“As someone deeply immersed in studying how digital technologies shape human networks and behavior, I envision AI’s impact on human experience by 2035 as transformative but not deterministic. The partnership…
Expect More Isolation and Polarization, a Loss of Cognitive Depth, and a Muddling of ‘Facts’ and ‘Truth’ That Undermines Trust and Our Capacity for Moral Judgment
“I see four main impacts of artificial intelligence on digitally connected people’s daily lives. In brief, they are the: loss of mental capacities; reduction of social interactions with other humans;…
AI threatens to require society to redefine ‘what it means to be a person’ in the digital realm
“The outcome by 2040 depends a great deal, if not entirely, upon the regulatory framework created around AI. If we just consider the Internet, there have certainly been areas where…
Given AI’s great potential, preventing it from turning into the sorcerer’s apprentice is the primary challenge
“I view this question as depending on what happens to current AI, meaning in practice, to current generative AI. For purposes of this exercise, let’s consider two possible outcomes for…
The questions are, ‘Can humans say “no” to AI, and can AI say “no” to humans?’
“There are two critical uncertainties as we imagine 2040 scenarios: “In other words, can humans say ‘no’ to AI, and can AI say ‘no’ to humans? Note that the existence…
Blurred ‘truth’ and the erosion of trust are likely to deliver AI’s most significant impact
“By 2040 AI will permeate everything. It is highly likely that it will have passed the Turing test well before 2040. Many aspects of daily life will be easier and…