November 2023
Blurred ‘truth’ and the erosion of trust are likely to deliver AI’s most significant impact
“By 2040 AI will permeate everything. It is highly likely that it will have passed the Turing test well before 2040. Many aspects of daily life will be easier and…
November 2023
Humans are being moved out of ‘the loop’; they might land next in the metaverse
“While I hesitate to claim that all of the ideas I share will all be fully realized by 2040, I think at the very least we’ll see significant progress on…
November 2023
We will be better off overall in 2040 if general purpose AI does not progress much, though social recalibration will be disruptive
“I start with two assumptions. The first is that we won’t see much progress on general-purpose AI in the next 15 years or so. If this is wrong, all bets…
November 2023
By 2040, many people will live better but aggressive AI systems will proliferate as a human/AI symbiosis emerges
“Let me share six main ideas about what life could be like in 2040: This was written in November 2023 in reply to the question: Considering likely changes due to the…