By 2035, Synthetic Sentiences Will Vastly Outnumber Us; We Will Reinvent Ourselves, Our Communities and Our Cultures
“Tools inevitably transform both the tool maker and tool user. To paraphrase McLuhan, first we invent our technologies, and then we use our technologies to reinvent ourselves, as individuals, as…
There is likely to be an AI-driven war over people’s minds and emotions
“By 2040, for most of the population, AI’s daily influence will appear to be rather benign and quite useful, but the purveyors of AI will invest their efforts toward creating…
Blurred ‘truth’ and the erosion of trust are likely to deliver AI’s most significant impact
“By 2040 AI will permeate everything. It is highly likely that it will have passed the Turing test well before 2040. Many aspects of daily life will be easier and…
AI advances will bring the metaverse up to speed and accelerate 5G/6G and smart cities
“It’s tempting to consider the future of AI as vertical, but technologies do not develop in vacuums. They enable, accelerate and even frustrate each other. “For instance, further developments in…
Such good friends? Digital agents are likely to turn users into unknowing ‘agents of the machine’
“In computer-human interface design, the word ‘agent’ refers to chatbots and other seemingly autonomous entities that act on behalf of the computer in their interactions with us human users. It…
Which metrics of success will win the day – growth and productivity or finding joy and love?
“I’d like to share two potential outcomes: dystopian and non-dystopian. “The Dystopian View: Here’s what 2040 might look like if societal systems don’t change. In this scenario, society still values…
The AI-fueled transition challenges the way we live and experience everything
“The proliferation of AI in the next 15 years will undoubtedly bring about a transformation characterized by more security but less personal freedom to move, express ourselves, purchase and make…
Agile governance must meet the dynamic challenges of future complex adaptive systems
“Managing and understanding the risks and nonlinearities of future advances will be a critical challenge from now and beyond. “Sophisticated models and agile governance mechanisms will be required to responsibly…
Synthetic agents (‘synthetes’) will be mass produced and create a ‘privacy nightmare’
“There will be many more deepfakes and more AI-generated misinformation in politics, which will make it more difficult to distinguish AI falsehoods from human-authored information. Minimally, laws are needed that…
Human-centered AI can succeed only if it includes all humans
“While AI innovation is moving faster than experts anticipated a year or two ago, the likelihood of human-level AI coming to fruition by 2040 is debatable. However, AI is and…